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Fire Freakonomics

Stephen Dubner, author of the book Freakonomics, takes on the issue of fire safety in this article and podcast. He provides an interesting overview of just how far we have come in terms of fire safety over the last century.

http://bit.ly/PU9t92

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San Jose Plays the Budget Game

Should the city save money by reducing its firemen on trucks? Should it skimp instead on roads? Or should it bite the bullet and raise taxes instead?

These are the types of questions the City of San Jose hopes its residents begin considering after playing with the city budget online. Read more in this Financial Times article …

http://on.ft.com/PU7Ok5

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Better than Excel: Using R for Data Analysis

What is wrong with using Excel for conducting fire department data analysis? Nothing is wrong with it, but there are better ways. Fire Department data analysis often involves many, many steps that can be time consuming and difficult to double-check using Excel. Here is an example of conducting a response time analysis:

  • Step 1:  Download raw data from your emergency dispatch center and read that data into CAD
  • Step 2:  Data includes 100 different dispatch codes that do not translate directly to what we consider major incident type categories such as fires, EMS, et cetera … so you code the 100 dispatch types and use excel to create another column of incident types.
  • Step 3:  You only want to include emergency responses in your response time analysis, so you eliminate all public service calls.
  • Step 4:  Finally, you run the response time analysis by incident type using the 90th percentile times.

Imagine working for several hours to prepare a report that includes several different types of analysis. Then, after delivering the report, your chief ask whether or not the analysis included mutual aid responses and that they wanted b0th percentile times instead of 90th percentile times. You probably don’t remember if where you did or did not include mutual aid responses and you realize that you will have to redo significant portions of the analysis to compute 80th percentile times. Scenarios like this are exactly why Excel is not well-suited for complex analysis or analysis that you expect to repeat on a regular basis (such as monthly reports).

So what is the answer? The answer is statistical programming languages that do the exact same thing as Excel, but in the form of computer scripts (basically text documents that contain computer code). Imagine writing a word document that outlines exactly how you did your Excel analysis and with what data and having that word document actually do the work and spit out the results. The beauty of this is that you can go back and update your work and rerun the analysis in seconds rather than hours. Furthermore, you can use that computer script to re-run the exact same analysis month after month without having to do any work. Enter statistical programming languages …

There are several different statistical programming languages out there … SAS, SPSS, S, S-Plus and R are the most popular. R is, however, the only free program and it allows users to develop their own additions for industry-specific analysis. I have been working on an R add-on package called FireTools that will allow you to read in CAD and NFIRS data and automatically run several different types of fire department analysis. Once this package is released, I will use this blog to provide tutorials on exactly how to use this add-on package. In the meantime, you can already get started on learning the basics of R. The following tutorial provides a good introduction using the analysis of baseball statistics.

http://www.oreillynet.com/pub/a/network/2004/10/27/baseball.html

After completing this tutorial you should begin to understand how analysis with R is similar to what can be done with Excel, but lends itself well to updating and repeating analysis. And, because R allows users to develop and publish add-on packages, R is a much more powerful analysis tool than Excel. Good luck with the tutorial.

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The State of Fire & Rescue in Africa

Its not often that you get to go off road when responding to a house fire. We were going about 40 miles per hour in a bright red mercedes fire engine and thank god there were seat belts. This was the most violent ride of my life. A bright yellow helmets were flying all over the place. Through the front windshield I could see palm trees and shacks made of corrugated steel and cinder blocks. Behind us we were certainly leaving a long trail of dust. As the radio blared out information about the house fire, I desperately tried to comprehend my surroundings. On the one hand, I felt very at home with lights sirens and familiar equipment. The weird part is that we were responding traveling at hight speed through typical african villages in the suburbs of Kampala, Uganda. I never expected to feel so at home in Africa, but I discovered that the fire service family truly extends around the world. On a recent trip through nine countries in sub-saharan Africa, I had a unique opportunity to visit fire stations in many of those countries.

After finishing a year of work for the Dublin Fire Brigade in Ireland, I decided to pick up and leave for Africa. I left in July 2006 for Johannesburg, South Africa. The following map shows my route as I made my way up to the equator and back. Whether it was discussions about how to rescue victims from gas covered lakes in Zanzibar to security concerns in Johannesburg to vehicle extrication and medical transport for 25 plus patients in Maputo, there were many interesting and valuable experiences I had with the African fire service.

My trip started in South Africa where I found that the Johannesburg Fire Department is no different than any metropolitan fire department in the United States. Although the country of South Africa is a mix of first world and third-world areas, all their fire departments are first class. The Johannesburg Fire Department uses E-One fire engines, has traditional american firehouses, and actually uses the American NFPA codes.

Once you leave South Africa, the fire service is drastically different. Larger capital cities such as Maputo (Mozambique), Dar Es Salaam (Tanzania), and Nairobi (Kenya), typically offer private security services that include ambulance care and fire service. These services are equivalent to what we would expect in the United States and intended to bypass insufficient or non-existent municipal police, fire and rescue services. Because there is a high expense associated with bringing in trainers from Western countries and maintaining the latest equipment, these services are prohibitively expensive for most Africans.

Most of the larger cities had municipal fire departments, some better than others. In Maputo, the fire department had two well equipped fire engines:  one to protect the presidential compound and the other for a city of 200,000 people. The rest of their equipment had fallen into disrepair. I was told that it was common for the fire department to run out of gas and needed to collect money when they received an emergency call to go buy gasoline. In the Kampala (Uganda), the fire department was well staffed, well-trained, and had much of the same equipment that we would find on our fire engines. They had a dive team and Holmatro extrication equipment. Although I did not get the impression that their department was better funded than any others, they somehow pulled together a fairly professional operation. Many of the smaller fire departments seemed to be lacking compressors for charging SCBAs and had very little training. The Mzuzu Fire Brigade had to drive 500 miles each time they needed to refill their air bottles and the Moshi Fire Brigade had SCBAs but no clue what they were or how to use them. Most of their airpacks still had original tags on them. These smaller departments often had much of the necessary equipment but lacked training manuals and knowledgeable instructors.

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